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Their extensive analysis of the social care needs of elderly people in Derbyshire showed that:

1. Of all people aged 65 or more in Derbyshire (134,200 people in 2008), 39 per cent (52,338) have social care needs.

2. 11 per cent of the over 65’s (14,762) have “very high” needs.

3. Over 43,000 people aged over 65 require formal care, with 8,500 well supported by informal care.

4. Just over 13,300 receive care funded by the local authority, of which 4,800 have “very high” needs.

5. 20,300 people are potentially funding their own care.

6. 3,400 elderly people in Derbyshire have critical-interval need dementia.

7. 250,500 home care hours per week are required to address the social care needs of Derbyshire’s over 65 population compared with the 102,100 home care hours per week currently provided i.e 40 per cent of need is met.

8. An estimated additional 39,300 sessions of support in the community are required to meet the total need of the over 65 community ie current publicly supported care provides for about 17 per cent of the total need.

9. Derbyshire supports 3,200 people in residential and nursing homes. It is estimated that the total number of residential, nursing or extra care housing places per week required to cover the social care needs of the 65 or over population is 5,500 for those with purely physical social care needs and 3,000 for those with cognitive social care needs.

10. Derbyshire’s over 85 population is projected to increase faster than England as a whole.

11. The over-65 population across Derbyshire is projected to increase by 56 per cent over the next 20 years. This is similar to the regional growth (57 per cent) and significantly faster than the population increase projected across England as a whole (45 per cent). This projected increase is likely to drive increased demand for social care.

12. The over-85 population is projected to grow significantly faster, with a 79 per cent increase over 20 years. This is below the regional growth rate (82 per cent) but above the England (68 per cent) projected growth for this older group. The over-85 group is the most likely to require social care, so increases in the size of this older group are likely to have a large impact on the demand for social care services.

13. Planning4care estimates identify that the number of people with social care needs in Derbyshire will rise at a slightly faster rate than across the region and significantly faster than across England as a whole.

14. The impact of the faster increases in the over-85 group is seen in the estimates for the increase in projected numbers of those with social care needs. In Derbyshire the number of people over 65 with social care needs is projected to rise by 59 per cent over the next 20 years, slightly above the regional rise of 58 per cent, and well above the national rises of 46 per cent. The number of people with very high social care needs is also projected to rise faster than across the region and England.

15. The number of people with dementia over the 20 year period is projected to rise by 66 per cent (67 per cent for those with ‘critical-interval need’ dementia), just below the regional growth (68 per cent)but above the national (53 per cent) comparisons.

16. The increase in the size of the population with social care needs means that projected service requirements and costs are in turn estimated to increase faster than across England and the region.

You can view and/or download the full Derbyshire Planning4care report 2007 from the more information section.

You may also be interested in reading information on our website about the Local Area Agreement (LAA), Derbyshire’s Sustainable Community Strategy, the Children's and Young People's Plan and the Health of Derbyshire (opens in a new window).